UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland Betting Picks and Odds
Source: UFC
After a rare break in the action, UFC is back with Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland on Saturday afternoon. This will be the second UFC event on ABC in the new ESPN era of the promotion.
After Darren Till was forced to withdraw due to a collarbone injury, promising star Kevin Holland is jumping in on short notice to take on Marvin Vettori in a middleweight main event. Here are the odds for the event as well as the Fightlete Staff predictions!
All odds are via Fanduel Sportsbook.
NOTE: All picks and predictions are for entertainment purposes only. Fightlete does not facilitate gambling activities. Please gamble responsibly if you so choose.
Results from the last event:
Drew: 3-2, -0.19 units
Kirien: 3-2, -0.46 units
Sean: 2-3, -2.29 units
Mike: 2-3, -2.29 units
Results for 2021:
Drew: 28-24, -0.3 units
Mike: 26-22, -8.15 units
Kirien: 22-30, -15.69 units
Sean: 19-28, -14.53 units
Marvin Vettori (-340) vs. Kevin Holland (+260)
O/U 2.5 rounds (-142/+112)
Kirien’s Pick: Over
Vettori is going to try and make a statement early. If he could manage a convincing win here, it wouldn’t be a stretch to see Vettori in a title fight in the near future, but Holland is no push over. This one will be energetic and aggressive early, but get stagnant after the initial energy fades and the fatigue sets in. Vettori probably wins this one, but the value play is on the over.
Drew’s Pick: Over
I am staying away from the moneyline bets because I am very torn on what could happen. On paper, Vettori seems to be the better fighter, but he is also an emotional competitor. Holland talks a lot of trash, even during the fight, so it is possible that Vettori gets rattled and does something dumb. I am talking the over to avoid that huge variable.
Abraham’s pick: Vettori
Kevin Holland has bricks for hands and he is capable of knocking out any middleweight on the planet, but his kryptonite was exposed in his last fight against Derek Brunson; Holland struggles in the grappling department. Knowing Vettori, he is going to put on a wrestling clinic and make it look like an easy win.
Mike’s Pick- Vettori
Vettori is the favorite to win this one, and it’s hard to argue against him. He was a legitimate Middleweight contender in his last bout and was as hungry for UFC gold as anyone else on the roster. I would lean Vetorri even if Holland hadn’t just fought and lost.
Sean’s Pick - Vettori
Marvin Vettori has been climbing the division to get another chance at the Champion, Israel Adesanya, who was his last loss. Vettori’s win over Hermansson proved that has the striking skills to match Izzy, whether that would be enough to best him though has yet to be seen. Holland is also eager to make a comeback after a disappointing loss to Brunson, and get back to huge finishes and winning streaks. Vetorri is the better fighter between the two hands down, and I have him winning by Unanimous Decision.
Arnold Allen (+118) vs. Sodiq Yusuff (-144)
O/U 2.5 rounds (-192/+150)
Kirien’s Pick: Over
These fighters' careers are nearly identical, but their styles couldn’t be more different. Picking a winner would be like flipping a coin. While the value isn’t there, I am going with the over again. Allen is a good defender and should avoid Yusuff’s knockout potential. Sit back and enjoy a competitive fight and cash in that over when this one goes to a decision.
Drew’s Pick: Allen
This has the chance to be the fight of the night. Both are quick-rising contenders and have just one loss each professionally. Arnold Allen is a versatile grappler who can still do some work on the feet. Yusuff does not want this to go to the ground, so if Allen can weather the storm and take him down, he will at least grab a decision.
Abraham’s pick: Yusuff
Sodiq Yusuff is a very powerful featherweight and someone you need to keep your eye on. He has a lot of brute strength behind his leaner frame, a quality that many featherweights don’t possess. Arnold Allen can turn this into a slow match to play it safe but I don’t think he will be able withstand Yusuff’s ferocity.
Mike’s Pick- Allen
This is a great Featherweight matchup between two promising contenders. Both men have not lost since joining the UFC and have very bright futures in the promotion. This is a close fight, but based on his impressive performances, well rounded fighting style, and the caliber of opponents he has faced in the past, I am going with Arnold Allen.
Sean’s Pick- Yusuff
Allen and Yusuff could possibly put on the fight of the night. Both have yet to suffer their first loss in the Octagon, and will be coming in with confidence and determination to keep it that way. I’m going with Yusuff because he’s already showcased some devastating knockout power in half of his UFC victories.
Sam Alvey (+156) vs. Julian Marquez (-194)
Yes/No Fight goes to decision (+124/-158)
Kirien’s Pick: Marquez
Marquez is the more talented fighter but is less experienced. He will need to control the pace of the fight from the beginning to make sure he is comfortable inside the octagon. If Alvey has a chance at the upset he will need to sting Marquez early and often, I just don’t see that happening.
Drew’s Pick: Yes
This will probably be a good ole kickboxing match. Although Marquez can nail some takedowns, but his output on the feet is quite high. I can see this being a dogfight with neither quite being able to finish it off. Look for 15 minutes of fireworks.
Abraham’s pick: No
Sam Alvey is known for entertaining fights. Julian Marquez is known for entertaining fights. Why would this fight go the distance if both men are known for wanting to take their opponent’s heads off? Expect a brutal and early knockout from one of these two men.
Mike’s Pick- Alvey
Alvey’s career has no doubt hit a bit of a rough patch as of late, but I think he will recover this weekend in his return down to Middlewight. Alvey has not picked up a win in his last 6 fights, however, in that stint he has had some very close outings and fought some killers. Marquez is coming off a win and has some momentum, but he did not look great in that fight and had a late comeback submission. I got Alvey.
Sean’s Pick:No
Speaking to Sam Alvey he said he felt he was wronged by bad judging from his last four losses. Marquez has shown even from behind he can come out with a finish like he did against Pitolo. Alvey will want to start fast to take advantage of a possible slow starter in Marquez. Rest assured Alvey and Marquez won’t go past the 2nd Round.
Nina Ansaroff (-130) vs. Mackenzie Dern (+106)
O/U 2.5 rounds (-192/ +150)
Kirien’s Pick: Dern
Another evenly matched fight that should be competitive and entertaining. This one will be a battle of great takedown defense (Nina) and great takedown offense (Dern), but who will prevail? I have Dern overpowering Ansaroff late and ending the fight via submission.
Drew’s Pick: Dern
Nina Ansaroff has not won in the Octagon since 2018 and has only fought once since then. On the other hand, Dern is riding a three-fight win streak and has been incredibly active. To get her at underdog odds is a lock.
Abraham’s pick: Dern
One of these women is the future of women’s MMA in the UFC while the other is on the backend of her career. Mackenzie Dern is just getting started and her grappling prowess will be the reason she dominates Nina Ansaroff on the ground for her 7th submission victory.
Mike’s Pick- Dern
I was quite surprised to see the line on this one. Make no mistake, Ansaroff is a fantastic fighter, but this matchup favors Dern. Not only has Dern fought 4 times (winning 3) since we last saw Ansaroff in the octagon (in a losing effort), but Ansaroff also gave birth just six months ago. Ansaroff is a great fighter, but she has too much going against her in this one.
Sean’s Pick - Dern
I’m surprised Dern comes in as an underdog to Ansaroff after 3 impressive victories in a row. Ansaroff is coming off the longest layoff in her career. Dern’s striking against Jandiroba showed how quickly she’s improved during her time with Blackhouse MMA. Ansaroff last victory was in late 2018, Dern’s combined BJJ wizardry and newfound striking abilities will be tough challenge for Mrs. “Nunes” return.
Daniel Rodriguez (-188) vs. Mike Perry (+152)
Yes/No fight goes to decision (+108/-136)
Kirien’s Pick: No
Both of these fighters are heavy hitters who have the ability to end the fight in the blink of an eye. I have Rodriguez landing the big blow, but just to be safe we will give ourselves a plan B in case Perry is able to counter Rodriquez aggressiveness.
Drew’s Pick: No
I really don’t like this fight that much. It is mostly because of the negative impact Mike Perry has had on the sport and the culture, but I do see this fight being hot and fast. I am predicting a first or early second round knockout.
Abraham’s Pick: Rodriguez
Mike Perry is a strong welterweight but that is also the reason for his recent struggles. He has expressed interest in moving to middleweight soon because he is done cutting so much weight. Expect this fight to be entertaining as Rodiguez likes to scrap as much as Perry does but with Perry’s lack of interest in remaining at welterweight anticipate an unmotivated Perry as Rodriguez outboxes him.
Mike’s Pick- Perry
This is a fun fight, as both of these guys have no problem standing and trading hands in the center of the cage. Perry, while always entertaining, does not always have a disciplined training camp and sometimes shows up flat and out of shape. This time, however, I believe he knows he’s fighting for his job and his newly born daughter and I think he will be as focused as we’ve ever seen him. I see Perry’s experience getting him win on Saturday.
Sean’s Pick - Rodriguez
I think Daniel Rodriguez has Mike Perry’s number in this one. Perry has struggled to find consistency lately and this isn’t the best matchup for him. As long as Rodriguez does not look to engage Perry in a dog fight, he’ll be patient piecing him up as Perry’s gas tank fades away on route to a Unanimous Decision.